Despite having both home advantage and form on their side, Monza may be set to drop points on Monday, as Sampdoria have made some signings which will mould their team more to Dejan Stankovic's liking. The Blucerchiati still look light up front, however, so are unlikely to score more than once.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.16) 
-0.04) 
