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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
SL

Napoli
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Osimhen (64' pen.), Simeone (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murru (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria

With history already made and several key men planning their exits, Napoli have been waning for a while now. However, they will want to sign off a superb campaign in style, so can put poor Samp to the sword again and reach 90 points for the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 90%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 2.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawSampdoria
90% (0.80200000000001 0.8) 7.41% (-0.536 -0.54) 2.59% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 35.95% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.86% (1.227 1.23)27.14% (-1.228 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.33% (1.535 1.54)47.66% (-1.535 -1.54)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.37% (0.318 0.32)3.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.35% (1.044 1.04)15.65% (-1.044 -1.04)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.3% (-0.628 -0.63)62.7% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.03% (-0.2971 -0.3)91.97% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 89.98%
    Sampdoria 2.59%
    Draw 7.41%
NapoliDrawSampdoria
3-0 @ 13.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.5% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-0 @ 11.46% (0.32 0.32)
5-0 @ 7.61% (0.403 0.4)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-1 @ 5.84% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.04 0.04)
6-0 @ 4.21% (0.324 0.32)
5-1 @ 3.55% (0.116 0.12)
7-0 @ 2% (0.201 0.2)
6-1 @ 1.97% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
7-1 @ 0.93% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 89.98%
1-1 @ 3.52% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 2.27% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-2 @ 1.36% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 7.41%
0-1 @ 1.06% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 2.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Napoli
Thursday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 5-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Empoli
Monday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-0 Sampdoria
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Torino
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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