SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
21.36% ( 1.16) | 21.39% ( 0.07) | 57.25% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( 1.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( 1.27) | 38.73% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( 1.32) | 61.03% ( -1.32) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( 1.82) | 31.58% ( -1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.02% ( 2.04) | 67.98% ( -2.04) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( 0.05) | 13.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.73% ( 0.09) | 40.27% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.62% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.49)0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.5)1-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.58% Total : 57.25% |
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