There is no reason to think that Spezia will break their duck on the road this time out, as they face a formidable force in the shape of Milan at San Siro. With little to offer up front, the visitors will be overpowered by the Scudetto holders at the other end; keeping the hosts in touch with Napoli at the top of the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 79.05%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.59%) and 1-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
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