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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
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Sampdoria
1 - 2
AC Milan

Duricic (57')
Ferrari (54'), Villar (66'), Quagliarella (90+3'), Augello (90+5'), Leris (90+6')
Giampaolo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Messias (6'), Giroud (67' pen.)
Leao (17')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Sampdoria 0-2 AC Milan

Although recovering quickly from their midweek exertions may be a challenge for Milan, they are fortunate their opponents are drained of confidence and lack a goalscoring threat. Pioli can therefore make use of his deepening squad to continue his side's unbeaten start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
10.18% (-0.064 -0.06) 17.03% (-0.099 -0.1) 72.78% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.72% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (0.25899999999999 0.26)41.51% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (0.262 0.26)63.91% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)48.09% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)83.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (0.105 0.11)9.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67% (0.248 0.25)32.99% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 10.19%
    AC Milan 72.77%
    Draw 17.03%
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 3.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-1 @ 2.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 10.19%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.03%
0-2 @ 12.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 9.79% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 5.64% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.13% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.6% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.015 0.01)
0-6 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 72.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, September 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Lazio
Wednesday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 4-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, August 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Juventus
Monday, August 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-0 Reggina
Friday, August 5 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Bologna
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Udinese
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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