Though they could not hold on for the win, Atalanta fared well against Milan and confidence seems to be returning to a squad which looked drained at the end of last season. As Verona are yet to solve their defensive issues, the visitors can score more than once and take three points back to Bergamo.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
0.11) 
-0.37) 
