Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Modena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Modena had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result |
| Bari | Draw | Modena |
53.26% ( -0.22) | 24.83% ( 0.06) | 21.9% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.04) |
| 47.12% ( -0.05) | 52.87% ( 0.05) |
| 25.51% ( -0.05) | 74.49% ( 0.04) |
| 80.18% ( -0.11) | 19.82% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.1% ( -0.18) | 51.9% ( 0.18) |
| 60.96% ( 0.13) | 39.04% ( -0.13) |
