Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
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