Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
