Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
