Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
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