Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.82%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
0.1) 
-0.13) 
