Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
