Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.3) 
-0.31) 
