Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.01) 
