Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
1.33) 
-0.2) 
