Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Como had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
-0.15) 
0.13) 
