Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.18) 
