Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 49.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Como had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.04) 
