Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
-0.74) 
1.2) 
