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Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Reggiana
1 - 0
Catanzaro

Girma (41')
Nesta (24'), Pieragnolo (27'), Bianco (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Scognamillo (23'), Sounas (30'), Ghion (67'), Ambrosino (68'), Stoppa (87')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Reggiana and Catanzaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sudtirol 2-3 Reggiana
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-3 Brescia
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reggiana in this match.

Result
ReggianaDrawCatanzaro
39.23% (-0.108 -0.11) 26.67% (0.133 0.13) 34.09% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-0.442 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.8% (-0.558 -0.56)53.19% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (-0.477 -0.48)74.76% (0.47199999999999 0.47)
Reggiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (-0.321 -0.32)26.51% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (-0.425 -0.42)61.7% (0.42 0.42)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.295 -0.3)29.56% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (-0.359 -0.36)65.58% (0.354 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Reggiana 39.23%
    Catanzaro 34.09%
    Draw 26.66%
ReggianaDrawCatanzaro
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-3 Reggiana
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggiana 1-2 Sampdoria
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggiana 1-1 Brescia
Sunday, December 10 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 2-1 Reggiana
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggiana 1-1 Ascoli
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 2-0 Reggiana
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-3 Brescia
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-0 Catanzaro
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-0 Pisa
Saturday, December 9 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Palermo 1-2 Catanzaro
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-0 Cosenza
Sunday, November 26 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Catanzaro
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B


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