Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Venezia in this match.
-0.16) 
0.19) 
