Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 63.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for an Aluminij win it was 1-0 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.