With the two rivals separated by only one point and the previous three meetings ending all square, we think that Sunday's encounter will also result in the spoils being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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