SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for an Adana Demirspor win it was 1-2 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
77.56% ( 0.64) | 13.45% ( -0.19) | 8.99% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.81% ( -0.69) | 27.18% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.88) | 47.72% ( 0.87) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.34% ( -0.04) | 5.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.09% ( -0.1) | 21.9% ( 0.1) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.72% ( -1.45) | 40.28% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.1% ( -1.35) | 76.9% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Adana Demirspor |
| 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 9% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.12)6-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)Other @ 5.15% Total : 77.56% | 1-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.45% | 1-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 8.99% |
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