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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
40.09% ( -0.64) | 26.66% ( 0.3) | 33.25% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% ( -1.17) | 53.34% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( -1) | 74.88% ( 1) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( -0.87) | 26.12% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( -1.18) | 61.18% ( 1.19) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% ( -0.36) | 30.17% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.67% ( -0.44) | 66.33% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.27% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.25% |
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