Basaksehir were far from their best in the defeat at Alanyaspor last time out, but a first home clash of the campaign gives the hosts the opportunity to put things right quickly.
Fatih face a difficult away trip after pushing hard against Besiktas on Monday, and we are expecting back-to-back defeats for Erdem's charges.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.09) 
