SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
33.22% ( 0.61) | 24.75% ( 0.09) | 42.03% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( -0.23) | 45.1% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( -0.22) | 67.45% ( 0.22) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( 0.26) | 26.17% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( 0.35) | 61.25% ( -0.35) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( -0.42) | 21.49% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.47% ( -0.65) | 54.53% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.03% |
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