Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
We said: Kasimpasa 1-1 Kayserispor
At this stage of the season, there is not much difference between the two teams, as both have been in similar form recently.
Kayserispor's rather poor away record could indicate that the visitors are in a slightly worse position going into this game than the hosts, but Kasimpasa's unimpressive defensive home record also make them rather vulnerable and far from favourites in this game.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Kayserispor |
54.28% ( 0.04) | 22.42% ( -0.02) | 23.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( 0.05) |
| 58.86% ( 0.09) | 41.14% ( -0.09) |
| 36.47% ( 0.09) | 63.53% ( -0.09) |
| 84.87% ( 0.05) | 15.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.3% ( 0.09) | 43.7% ( -0.08) |
| 68.79% ( 0.03) | 31.21% ( -0.03) |
