SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
23.11% ( -0.16) | 21.62% ( -0.05) | 55.27% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.41% ( 0.07) | 37.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.18% ( 0.08) | 59.82% ( -0.08) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.09) | 29.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.6% ( -0.1) | 65.4% ( 0.1) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( 0.09) | 13.6% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.27% ( 0.18) | 40.72% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.11% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.48% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 55.27% |
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