SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
34.07% ( 0.11) | 25.33% ( 0.07) | 40.6% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( -0.29) | 47.53% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( -0.27) | 69.73% ( 0.26) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( -0.07) | 26.82% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( -0.09) | 62.11% ( 0.09) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.22) | 23.23% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( -0.32) | 57.14% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.6% |
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