Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
We said: Samsunspor 2-1 Kayserispor
While the visitors have enjoyed the much stronger first half to the season, it is the Samsunspor who come into the game with momentum, while Kayserispor are quickly dropping down the table, and we see their trajectories continuing with a home victory on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
61.77% ( 0.01) | 21.17% ( -0.01) | 17.06% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.04) |
| 55.66% ( 0.05) | 44.34% ( -0.05) |
| 33.29% ( 0.05) | 66.71% ( -0.05) |
| 86.18% ( 0.02) | 13.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.84% ( 0.04) | 41.16% ( -0.04) |
| 60.62% ( 0.03) | 39.38% ( -0.03) |
