It is rare that Umraniyespor get completely outplayed, but they are losing far too many games nonetheless, and they are likely to come unstuck again in a closely-contested game against Adana Demirspor on Monday.
While it is unlikely the visitors run away with it, their recent form indicates they have the quality required to pick up a second away win on the spin, so we expect a repeat of the scoreline in the reverse fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.08) 
