SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
51.5% ( -0.24) | 23.52% ( 0.12) | 24.98% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -0.42) | 44.41% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% ( -0.41) | 66.78% ( 0.41) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( -0.25) | 17.28% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.38% ( -0.43) | 47.62% ( 0.44) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( -0.13) | 31.58% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% ( -0.14) | 67.99% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.5% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.98% |
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