Umraniyespor look almost certain to be relegated at this stage, having put in some very poor performances in recent weeks, while Sivasspor have started to show signs of improvement, winning two of their last three league games.
As such, we expect the visitors to emerge as comfortable winners, continuing their upward trajectory in the Turkish Super Lig.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
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