SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Sion had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Sion |
51.85% ( 0.11) | 22.73% ( -0.02) | 25.42% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.57% ( 0.03) | 40.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.19% ( 0.03) | 62.81% ( -0.03) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.05) | 15.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.23% ( 0.09) | 44.77% ( -0.09) |
| Sion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.05) | 29.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -0.07) | 65.04% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Sion |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 25.42% |
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