SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
50.13% ( 0.28) | 22.32% ( -0.02) | 27.55% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 63.3% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.34% ( -0.09) | 36.66% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.18% ( -0.1) | 58.81% ( 0.1) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( 0.06) | 14.93% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.67% ( 0.12) | 43.32% ( -0.11) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.22) | 25.59% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% ( -0.3) | 60.47% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.18% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.55% |
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