SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
39.78% ( 0.05) | 24.88% ( 0.06) | 35.35% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( -0.27) | 45.23% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( -0.26) | 67.57% ( 0.26) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( -0.09) | 22.63% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.74% ( -0.13) | 56.26% ( 0.14) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( -0.19) | 24.98% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( -0.26) | 59.63% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.35% |
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