Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
1.35) 
-0.37) 
