Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vilafranquense had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Vilafranquense win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.07) 
