Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
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