SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Lviv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
31.1% ( -0.08) | 24.32% ( 0.01) | 44.58% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( -0.07) | 43.93% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( -0.07) | 66.31% ( 0.07) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( -0.08) | 26.92% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( -0.11) | 62.24% ( 0.11) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0) | 19.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( 0) | 51.95% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Lviv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)1-4 @ 2% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 44.58% |
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