SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Veres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Veres | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
41.82% ( -0.46) | 26.77% ( -0.06) | 31.41% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( 0.4) | 54.21% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( 0.33) | 75.62% ( -0.33) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( -0.06) | 25.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% ( -0.08) | 60.47% ( 0.08) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.57) | 31.86% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( 0.65) | 68.3% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Veres | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.41% |
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