SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
18.28% ( 0.35) | 20.09% ( 0.18) | 61.63% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( -0.28) | 37.22% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( -0.3) | 59.43% ( 0.29) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( 0.21) | 33.72% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( 0.23) | 70.38% ( -0.24) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( -0.23) | 11.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.31% ( -0.49) | 36.69% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.28% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.07% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.51% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.8% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.31% Total : 61.63% |
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