SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Veres had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Veres win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Veres |
45.18% ( -0.18) | 27.13% ( 0.03) | 27.69% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.89% ( -0.03) | 57.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.02% ( -0.03) | 77.98% ( 0.02) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.1) | 25.19% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( -0.14) | 59.92% ( 0.14) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% ( 0.11) | 36.19% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.02% ( 0.11) | 72.98% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Veres |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 27.69% |
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