SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
25.9% ( 1.6) | 24.66% ( -0.28) | 49.44% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.42% ( 2.46) | 48.58% ( -2.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.3% ( 2.2) | 70.7% ( -2.19) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( 2.69) | 33.07% ( -2.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( 2.87) | 69.67% ( -2.86) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( 0.43) | 19.68% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.33% ( 0.7) | 51.67% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.38)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.44% Total : 25.9% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.68)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.95) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.44% |
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