Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 10.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.69%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
