Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
