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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Feb 28, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
1 - 1
Danubio

Milan (90+4')
Mallo (14'), Zeballos (58'), (90+1'), (90+4'), (90+6')
Mallo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mederos (86')
Victorino (52'), Rodriguez (74'), Mederos (87'), Comachi (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Danubio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawDanubio
32.49%26.64%40.88%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6%53.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06%74.94%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29%30.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03%66.97%
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28%25.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35%60.65%
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 32.49%
    Danubio 40.87%
    Draw 26.63%
Defensor SportingDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 9.33%
2-1 @ 7.47%
2-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 7.28%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.87%

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