Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor
1 - 1
Maldonado
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
41.16% ( -1.17) | 26.41% ( 0.15) | 32.43% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.12) |
| 47.51% ( -0.32) | 52.49% ( 0.32) |
| 25.84% ( -0.28) | 74.16% ( 0.27) |
| 74.84% ( -0.75) | 25.15% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.12% ( -1.04) | 59.87% ( 1.03) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| 69.7% ( 0.53) | 30.29% ( -0.53) |
